Yesterday has probably to marked as the first day of the full fledged civil war in Iraq. I’m still looking for conspiracy theory explaining the bombing, but it is totally clear that situation is out of control, occupational forces will have to retreat back to safe bases and watch Iraq breaking into three separate states engaged in war among each other.
I would agree with this blog that the majority of population will not support and participate in civil war. The sectarian tensions are not the most important things in average Iraqi mindset. But those who will chose to participate could not be stopped by any force.
I’m predicting the large investments into national security in Turkey and Iran.