Republicans


For me the current elections are so much different from the 2000 and 2004. I feel relaxed.

In the past, I felt like the country is attacked by the evil empire and the majority of population is cooperating with the aggressor.

This time, I have no negative feelings toward any of the candidates. They both are very decent people, deserving respect and capable to be among the leaders of this country.

What is driving my choice now, besides the obvious parallel with teh FDR, because the country is economically in the similar condition compared with 1930s and requires similar policies, is pure qualification.

What I see is that one candidate is very smart, definitively much smarter than I am. When I watch him answering questions I understand that I’m simply not capable to think that fast. He is also perfectly educated, better than I am. In him, I see what I want – a manager. A macro manager to lead the country. A micro manager to deal with every small issue, in complex or separately.

Then I see another candidate. First on all I doubt that he is smart at all. Maybe he is simply lost when he speaks to the camera, but it looks desperate. I can answer almost every question better than he does. Sometimes I feel that he has nothing to say and he simply squeezes out some meaningless word soup.

I also see how badly educated he is. His education is far inferior to mine. I don’t even compare him to another candidate’s education – that’s just a joke. I compare him to myself and I see that compared to me he is almost a high-school dropout. But I’m not running for president – he does.

I also see his judgement in action. The most important desision before elections is to pick a VP. And he chose the candidate even less qualified than himself. That is worrisome, because in order to be a successful president he must chose every single cabinet member to be at least 10x smarter than himself. And I doubt that he can.

Otherwise, he is a very nice guy and I wish him long and happy life. Somewhere away from the White House.

Please go and vote. That’s not only a duty, that’s more a privilege, one of those rare days when your opinion is worth more than zero.

Karl Rove announced that he is resigning. Good buy, evil assh*le, go back boil in your pit

The older I get the less I believe into conspiracy theories. You know what is the “Plunge Protection Team“? It’s a group of top US financial officials reporting directly to Prez that is responsible to prevent catastrophic stock market crashes like in 1987 or after 9/11/01. Yes, it’s probably a right thing to do, as public sometimes overreacts in the short term, like the crashes listed above were, certainly, an overreaction.

While there are many forces inside the Beltway that monitor and control each other I think the PPT was mostly restricted in its actions to just prevent market overreaction. But sometimes, when too many Republican stars are lining up on the Milky Way, I suspect that PPT is doing a little bit more than that. Now the economy just became a little bit too much political. The Lame Duck Prez took too much of Republican credibility for stake this time. His ridiculous tax cuts and enormous budget and current account deficits will backfire badly for the whole GOP gang if the economy turns badly before 2008 elections.

The PPT, or the gang of four, is definitely a team of extremely competent economists. They do understand that you cannot prevent the recession when the economy’s pendulum is swinging back from growth to contraction. The recession is totally normal economic event, it has to happen in any healthy economy on the regular basis. There is absolutely nothing wrong in the recession. Except when it happens during the last year of the Lame Duck Prez, before the critical elections. What they need is that recession happens after 2008, not before. The PPT does understand that it is possible to delay the recession, but the cost will be that the recession, when it finally happens, will be much worse.

Looking in retrospect at the stock market of the last 1-2 years I frankly don’t see any smoking gun, except just two cases. First, the March plunge recovered a little bit too fast. Second, the action of July 12 looks completely disconnected from the reality, especially in the face of declining consumer and panic on the credit markets.

I do smell some manipulations in the last three days. Why this is bad? In short, they spend taxpayers money to help the Pigmen unload their stocks, because you can’t really engineer a big multi-month rally. If fundamentals point down, down it will go, few months and tens of billion dollars later.

vetoboy

McCain wants more of our troops in Iraq. I think that’s wrong.

We already had over 400,000 troops in Vietnam and we’ve spent 13 years there. And we lost. Iraq is different, but not that different.

What complicates the situation is not only that forces that we fight wear no uniform, do not display arms and do not speak English. The civil war in Iraq is a proxy war between Iran and Al-Qaeda. After the elimination of Saddam and destruction of Iraqi economy Iran remained the most powerful and influential country in the region. But unfortunately Al-Qaeda, which was almost finished after Tora Bora, got a new fresh battleground and resourceful sponsors in Iraq. Initially, when Al-Qaeda was founded by anti-Soviet forces during the war in Afghanistan, they were a pan-Muslim force. The blend of Egyptian and Pakistani fighters with American money and training created a powerful force that eventually won over Soviets. Bin Laden was working with both Sunni and Shia.

But now Bin Laden is dead. Al-Qaeda got new sponsors, Sunni and arab states, to fight against the raise of Iran. From pan-Muslim force they became Sunni and there is no way back. Probably that’s one of the biggest accomplishments of Iraqi war.

What to do? First of all we should not try to stand in between Al-Qaeda and Iran. That’s just stupid. We should pick sides. I understand that U.S. has long history of positive relationships with Al-Qaeda, but after 1998 and especially 9/11 they are no friends to us anymore.

Which leaves us to work with Iran. I think we have good bargaining chips on the table. Iran should stop its nuclear efforts, after all the bomb is no help against Al-Qaeda anyway. And we will help with their fight. After all, we need a stability in the region, and for this to happen one side should win. It’s better that we pick the winner ourselves and get something in exchange for help.

Unfortunately we can’t expect Bush to make anything positive. Not just what I propose – anything. Bush is very un-diplomatic person and also stubborn and “intellectually incurious”.  We should eye the next prez. So far McCain is proving to drifting us the wrong way. He is no good.

Now, after cleaning out our champagne glasses, I want to say to my fellow bloggers – we did it!

Bush came to his office 6 years ago when blogosphere was virtually non-existing. We, the people, lost badly then and our voices were muted. Two years ago, when blogosphere was still in its infancy – and we lost again. Now, when we are finally strong and we can fight – we did it!

Millions of people lined out this past tuesday to kick G.W. Bush into his stupid fat ass. I saw him yesterday on TV and his ass was swelling and it was red like a tomato. Not even a baboon has it so bad.

Me, and a million of my fellow bloggers, we give and accept congratulations for the great job we did for this country and its people.

Congratulations!

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